Experts say a warmer winter is possible, but the impact on Mumbai’s weather and the 2026-27 monsoon remains uncertain
The Super El Niño system panel has submitted that heavy rainfall, urban flooding, and riverine flooding are all real possibilities for Tamil Nadu during the north-east monsoon.
Historically, El Niño has been linked to weaker monsoons and droughts in India, posing a substantial risk to the rain-dependent farm sector
The southwest monsoon brings roughly 70 per cent of India's rainfall from June to September
The last time El Niño conditions developed was in 2023
Three years of good rain may be over, as per IMD's latest 2026 monsoon forecast
Violent El Nino is characterized by a large scale weakening of the trade winds
El Nino weather pattern likely to develop in the second half of 2018
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