Delhi polls: What exit polls results mean for BJP, AAP and Congress

If the trends indicated by the exit polls were to hold, the BJP would cross the majority mark in the Delhi polls. The results of nine out of 11 exit polls conducted by various agencies indicate a change of government in Delhi.

The ruling AAP reacted to the exit polls, saying such pollsters had predicted against the party in the past also. The Congress may open its account in the capital after 10 years if the exit polls were to predict accurately. That’s where the catch of exit polls lies. They may have just given broad indications, while the final outcome could sharply differ. 

Exit polls keep the anticipation levels high ahead of the results. The ‘poll of the polls’ (average of all exit polls) put the tally at 39 seats for BJP and 30 for AAP. 

The BJP with its aggressive campaign, coupled with some attractive sops promised during the campaign, with a final big bang “gift” of no income tax till Rs 12 lakhs, lifted the party's chances in the capital. According to the exit polls, the party appears to be overcoming the capital jinx as it has been out of power for 27 years. The BJP leaders reacted to exit polls with optimism saying they would form the government in the state.

The exit polls indicate an improved showing by the Congress, even though it may not be able to win any seat. But that translates into Congress hurting the AAP the most.

However, the final results will only be known on Saturday when the votes will be counted.

Another key factor in the Delhi polls is the voting percentage. According to the Election Commission data, the voting percentage stood around 58 per cent till 5 pm. It is expected to grow when the final figures come in.

The BJP was hoping for a good turnout to bolster its chances in the polls, while a lower turnout or the same as the last time—63 per cent in 2020—would signal a much tighter contest. The candidates would be spending three sleepless nights before they know their fate.