As election fever peaks in Tamil Nadu, which will witness a multi-cornered fight, a new opinion poll has made some interesting predictions about the outcome.
A pre-poll survey released by Lok Poll has revealed that the DMK alliance is coming to power again with 40.1% vote share. It has also been reported that the DMK will win the most seats in the Kongu region. It says that the DMK will win 181–189 and 40.1 per cent vote share, while the main opposition AIADMK will end its run with 38–42 seats and 29 per cent votes.
As for actor Vijay’s TVK, which will make its electoral debut this time, the survey predicts eight to 10 seats and 23.9 per cent votes. Seeman’s Naam Tamilar Katchi will not win any seats but will get 4.9 per cent of the votes. The remaining 2.1 per cent votes will be shared by others, according to the Lok Poll opinion poll.
The survey, conducted based on the opinion of over 1,17,000 people, used a stratified random sampling method. Accordingly, the districts in Tamil Nadu have been divided into 4 zones - North Zone, Delta Zone, South Zone, and West Zone (Kongu Zone).
The surprising outcome is from the Kongu Zone, which has been a traditional AIADMK bastion. The pre-poll survey predicted that the DMK will dominate the region too, winning 44 to 46 seats. It has been said that AIADMK will win only 9-10 seats and TVK will win only 2-3 seats. The west comprises districts of Dharmapuri, Dindigul, Coimbatore, Karur, Erode, Krishnagiri, Namakkal, Nilgiris, Salem, and Tiruppur. While the AIADMK won 26 out of 38 constituencies in 2021, the Lok Poll survey predicts that their run will end in 9-10 seats this time.
In the northern zone, which includes Chennai, Kanchipuram, Chengalpattu, Tiruvallur, Tiruvannamalai, Vellore, Villupuram, Kallakurichi, Tirupattur, and Ranipet, the DMK will win 53 to 56 seats while the AIADMK will win 11 to 12 seats. Vijay's TVK will win 2 to 3 seats.
The central zone or Delta zone in Tamil Nadu includes districts, including Ariyalur, Cuddalore, Mayiladuthurai, Nagapattinam, Perambalur, Pudukkottai, Thanjavur, Trichy, and Thiruvarur. These regions will totally favour the DMK, which will take 39-40 seats. The AIADMK alliance will win 9-10 seats.
As for the southern zone, including Kanyakumari, Madurai, Ramanathapuram, Sivaganga, Theni, Thoothukudi, Tirunelveli, Tenkasi, Virudhunagar, the DMK alliance will win 45-47 seats. The AIADMK alliance will win 9-10 seats, and the TVK will win 2 seats, the opinion poll said.
As for the most preferred chief minister, M.K. Stalin tops the list. According to the opinion poll conducted by Lokpal, MK Stalin is at the top of the list of people's preferred Chief Minister. Over 41% of the people have expressed their support for him, while Opposition leader Edappadi Palaniswami has 24.1% of the people. Actor Vijay has the support of 27.1 per cent of the people, while 7.8 per cent expressed their preference for others.
