The West Antarctic ice sheet may be stabilised by generating additional snow through pumping ocean water onto the glaciers and distributing it with canons, scientists say.
This would mean unprecedented engineering efforts and a substantial environmental hazard in one of the world's last pristine regions — to prevent long-term sea level rise for some of the world's most densely populated areas along coastlines from the US to China.
"The fundamental trade-off is whether we as humanity want to sacrifice Antarctica to save the currently inhabited coastal regions and the cultural heritage that we have built and are building on our shores," said Anders Levermann, a physicist at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) in Germany.
"It is about global metropolises, from New York to Shanghai, which in the long term will be below sea level if nothing is done," Levermann said.
"The West Antarctic Ice Sheet is one of the tipping elements in our climate system. Ice loss is accelerating and might not stop until the West Antarctic ice sheet is practically gone," he said
Warm ocean currents have reached the Amundsen Sea Sector of West Antarctica — a region comprising several glaciers that are prone to instability due to their topographic configuration, researchers said.
Underwater melting of these glaciers triggered their speed-up and retreat, they said.
This is already now responsible for the largest ice loss from the continent and provides an accelerating contribution to global sea level rise.
The researchers employ computer simulations to project the dynamic ice loss into the future.
They confirm earlier studies suggesting that even strong reduction of greenhouse gas emissions may not prevent the collapse of the West Antarctic ice sheet.
"So we investigated what could stop a potential collapse in our simulations and increased the snowfall in the destabilised region far beyond observations," said Johannes Feldmann from PIK, co-author of the study published in the journal Science Advances.
"In fact, we find that an awful lot of snow can indeed push the ice sheet back towards a stable regime and stop the instability.
"In practice, this could be realised by an enormous redisposition of water masses -- pumped out of the ocean and snowed onto the ice sheet at a rate of several hundred billion tons per year over a few decades," Feldmann said.
"We are fully aware of the disruptive character such an intervention would have," added Feldmann.
Uplifting, desalinating and heating the ocean water as well as powering the snow canons would require an amount of electric power in the order of several ten thousand high-end wind turbines.
"Putting up such a wind farm and the further infrastructure in the Amundsen Sea and the massive extraction of ocean water itself would essentially mean losing a unique natural reserve.
"Further, the harsh Antarctic climate makes the technical challenges difficult to anticipate and hard to handle while the potential hazardous impacts to the region are likely to be devastating," Feldmann said.
Thus the risks and costs of such an unprecedented endeavour must be weighed very carefully against its potential benefits, researchers said.
"Also, our study does not consider future man-made global warming. Hence this gigantic endeavour only makes sense if the Paris Climate Agreement is kept and carbon emissions are reduced fast and unequivocally," Feldmann said.
"The apparent absurdity of the endeavour to let it snow in Antarctica to stop an ice instability reflects the breath-taking dimension of the sea-level problem," said Levermann.
