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The political realignment in Tamil Nadu: Deconstructing the Congress-DMK divorce and the TVK pivot

Congress formally announces its decision to walk out of the DMK alliance only to continue with the TVK in the elections in the future

Actor-turned-politician Vijay, president of Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK), waves as he arrives at his party’s office | PTI

The 2026 Tamil Nadu assembly general elections have precipitated a seismic restructuring of the state’s political landscape, punctuated by the formal dissolution of the two-decade-old alliance between the DMK and the Indian National Congress (INC). This shift represents far more than a routine electoral disagreement. It is a fundamental yet unilateral snap of ties that terminates a partnership largely intact since 2004. By backing C. Joseph Vijay’s Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK), the Congress has signalled an aggressive departure from the traditional Dravidian duopoly, opting instead for an experimental power-sharing model. This realignment marks the end of “unconditional support” and the beginning of a strategic decoupling from a partner suffering from profound incumbency fatigue.

The timeline of this deterioration reached a terminal turning point in late 2025. Following the tragic Karur stampede on September 27, 2025, which claimed 41 lives, Rahul Gandhi took the calculated step of calling TVK chief Vijay over the phone to express his condolences. This direct outreach effectively bypassed the DMK leadership and established a high-level diplomatic channel with a rising rival. The subsequent refusal of Rahul Gandhi to share the dais with M.K. Stalin, whom he had previously termed as his “elder brother”, during the 2026 campaign served as the definitive electoral optic, signalling that the relationship had moved from a state of friction to an inevitable divorce.

In fact, there were many pre-election warning signs of the Congress’s disagreement with the DMK or the uneasiness in the alliance. Apart from the Karur outreach, Rahul’s strategic decision to avoid joint rallies with M.K. Stalin signalled a loss of "spirit and purpose" in the alliance. And then there was a persistent internal friction where Rahul Gandhi personally backed the TVK pivot despite stonewalling from senior local leaders who feared the risks of the move. Meanwhile, a hyper-active faction within the Tamil Nadu Congress Committee (TNCC) openly campaigned for a “breakaway” months before the first ballot was cast.

These frictions ensured the alliance was a marriage of convenience in name only. The transition from “if it would break” to “when it would break” was finalised when the Congress leadership realised that continued proximity to the DMK would result in further erosion of their own grassroots identity.

The collapse of the alliance was driven by a deep-seated sense of suffocation among the Congress rank-and-file, who felt marginalised by the DMK’s persistent "big brother" attitude. From a strategic perspective, the partnership had become parasitic; the Congress provided secular legitimacy while the DMK monopolised the machinery of power, preventing the national party from functioning as an independent entity. This internal unrest made the prospect of a share in power—a promise explicitly made by Vijay—the only viable path for the party's survival in the state.

Localised grievances were particularly acute, with Congress cadres reporting systematic exclusion from the benefits of governance. At the taluk and district levels, Congress functionaries were sidelined in favour of DMK loyalists, notably being denied roles as temple trustees and other local influence-peddling positions. This exclusion prevented the party from rewarding its workers, leading to a vote transferability failure where the spirit of the alliance did not reach the booth level.

The Congress leaders feel that walking out of the DMK alliance means a strategic shift from subordination to independence. This sense of being stifled led a hyper-active faction, championed by leaders like B. Manickam Tagore and backed by AICC incharge Girish Chodankar, to lobby the high command for a cleaner break. They sought a partner who would offer the power sharing the DMK had denied them since 1967.

The TVK pivot for the Congress was more of a strategic synergy and personal diplomacy rather than mere political equation. The foundation of this new political architecture, according to those who wanted to breakaway from the DMK alliance, is the long-standing personal bond between Rahul Gandhi and C. Joseph Vijay, rooted in their initial 2009 meeting. “This relationship transcends mere electoral optics. It is a strategic partnership designed to bypass the stagnating Dravidian duopoly. For the Congress, this synergy is the ability to finally join a ministry in Tamil Nadu for the first time in nearly six decades, providing a tangible incentive for their base,” says a senior congress leader.

For Vijay, allying with the Congress provides his fledgling TVK with immediate national visibility and a secular and progressive seal of approval. This partnership allows him to position himself as a national player while the Congress uses the TVK’s momentum to get to the roots ahead of the 2029 Lok Sabha elections. However, the move has high-stakes national implications, potentially disrupting the INDIA bloc’s floor strategy in the Lok Sabha and Rajya Sabha, as the DMK, with its 22 MPs, is unlikely to remain in a national alliance that includes its new state-level rival.

The 2026 election results served as a brutal post-mortem for the Secular Progressive Alliance led by the DMK. The verdict was a clear rejection of the M.K. Stalin-led government, characterised by deep-seated anti-incumbency. Congress MP B. Manickam Tagore framed the results as a mandate against the DMK, noting that nearly half of the DMK’s cabinet ministers lost their seats. Within this context, the Congress viewed its own performance—winning only five out of 28 contested seats—as "collateral damage" for no fault of its own.

The Congress, however had tactically termed this shift in alliance and new architecture of power in terms of ideological foundation. On May 6, 2026, AICC in-charge Girish Chodankar and General Secretary K.C. Venugopal formally announced the new alliance, founded on the principle of “shared responsibility.” This marks a radical departure from the "outside support" model of the past. The alliance is not merely a government-forming pact but a long-term electoral commitment extending to local body and future Lok Sabha contests.

The ideological framework of this partnership is a sophisticated synthesis designed to peel voters away from both the DMK and AIADMK. By invoking the glory days of K. Kamaraj, the social justice ideals of Thanthai Periyar and the constitutional vision of Dr B.R. Ambedkar.

With this arrangement, the Congress will be in power in four out of the five states in the south. While it is in power directly in neighbouring Karnataka, Kerala and Telangana, it will be in a coalition government in Tamil Nadu with the TVK. For the Congress, this power-sharing agreement brings more strength to the party workers who have been out of power for more than five decades in Tamil Nadu.