Champions Trophy Group A equation explained. (All photos via Agencies)
Since Pakistan can at most get two points now, the bottom line is neither Bangladesh nor New Zealand should get more.
Thus, Pakistan should beat Bangladesh and New Zealand should lose both their remaining games.
Pakistan (net run rate -1.087) will now have to beat New Zealand (+1.200) and Bangladesh (-0.408) on net run rate to finish behind India.
Pakistan require Bangladesh to inflict damage on NZ. But a heavy win for the Tigers is also bad for Pakistan.
Pakistan need India to win really big (by 95 runs or more) against NZ. Then NZ losing their two games by a combined margin of 61 runs will suffice for Pakistan.