According to experts at IIT Madras, the number of COVID cases in Kerala will reach a peak between February 26 and March 17, if the outbreak continues at the current trajectory. Currently, the number of infections is increasing by 6 per cent to 10 per cent, according to a joint study by the Department of Mathematics and the Centre for Excellence in Computational Mathematics and Data Science.
The study, based on analysis of data available on the COVID 19 tracker, was led by Dr. Jayant Jha, Prof. Nilesh S. Upadhyaya and Prof. S. Sunder. IIT Madras researchers had earlier warned that the R-value had reached a record value of four. R-value of 4 means one infected person can transmit the virus to four others.
Kerala on Thursday reported more than 10,000 new COVID-19 cases for the second day running with the state logging 13,468 new infections, which raised the caseload to 53,17,490.
(With PTI inputs)